More Questions (Explanation on my post by Warren)

My last post was a whirlwind - and only those who regularly follow a handful of blogs would have been able to make any sense of it. This is a reprint of the primary concepts for the benefit of Paul D. Bain - in the hope that he will add some forensics commentary himself.

.. About one week ago, the following message appeared on the Yahoo Boards. It caused a stir because the writer was claiming a 70% premium offer to not redeem physical silver. In true viral fashion, the URL was found in the comments of many blogs - including [ Harveys, SilverGoldSilver, and Along the Watchtower ]. And here at screwtape files, while the claim is outrageous, this is not news to us - our own mystery poster 'Amber' claimed an 80% premium was obtained in an attempt by their group. The blogosphere has been in a suitable amount of froth over the claims, with a user called 'Kid Dynamite' especially batting for the legitimacy of SLV and bashing PSLV.

Our goal here is to test the validity of claims made and perhaps unveil what is hidden from our sight. To this end - the claims are either fact or fiction (or an elaborate mix of half-truths). We want to identify whether we are being lied to, but to further uncover WHY they would post the claim (analyze motives and agenda). For me, the 70% premium claim story comes undone because for the last couple of years, the user 'doc366' appears to be using multiple accounts (at least 5) to spam news links into relevant stock forums on the Yahoo Finance Message Boards. Three of those accounts used have a 'conversation' together about a JPM comex default (using emotive, non-factual language), so it appears to be a largely amateur meme injection.

My primary argument is that if entities out there covertly promoting the end of Comex, then it serves to identify who 'they' are, and what their agenda is. My wider thesis is that the Comex will be used as a scapegoat to hide behind as gold becomes revalued, and to that end, the whole damn thing has been planned by someone - just a psyop to influence and prime public opinion so that when the next finance paradigm comes about, there is no rioting on the streets. It also occurs to me that someone (possibly JP Morgan themselves) is LONG physical bullion (as suggested by some) and that they may in fact be responsible for engineering some of today's misinformation.

But that explanation is simply my tin-foil-hat-variety (I see dead people). The better explanation is someone out to make a quick buck, as expounded by DarkMath's comment: My take is the guy whose making money using astroturf software to post fake posts on Yahoo also has a hankering for Silver. So he says to himself after he gets bitten by the Silver Bug: hey my day job is spamming Yahoo message boards why don't I kill two birds with one stone and use the software to promote the Comex will default story."

I hope this explains why my research raise more questions than is answered, and that it explains the context of my frenetic post a bit better.

--Warren

Reference and NOTES:
1. All this hardly matters anyway - the window for obtaining cheap bullion is closing fast and I hope everyone who is reading this has a little bit on their person.

2. The new financial paradigm I'm talking about has been well described by http://fofoa.blogspot.com/ for the last couple of years and I personally think we are now seeing this transition.

3. SilverGoldSilver claims in his Bears videos that the Comex default is just the next stage as part of a wider agenda. And yep, I suggest this fits what we are seeing (but I do think the endgame is Freegold, not a new Fiat currency).

4. My Own Garbled Posts (by Warren):

more-questions-tin-foil-hat-special.html
random-thoughts.html
wynter-benton-report-card.html
wb-claim-reminder.html
reflection-on-wb-claims.html
friends-of-wynter-benton.html

5. Primary Wynter Benton Stuff (by Louis Cypher):

time-to-clear-up-most-common.html
wynterbenton-diaries-or-wynter-benton.html
who-is-winter-benton-is-silver-about-to.html

More Questions (Tin Foil Hat Special Feature by Warren)

DISCLAIMER: THIS IS JUST MY THINKING, NO ONE ELSES. I AM TRYING TO FIGURE IT OUT IN MY HEAD TO CONNECT ALL THE DOTS WITHOUT GOING INSANE.

I woke up this morning to find a message on my post from 'hiptwist', who suggests that the doc366 sounds like a variety of 'astroturfing'. I looked it up. Looks good (thanks hiptwist). Musing on that all day long. Stuff not adding up so my brain so I do some more digging - I'm not satisfied with the depth to which I analysed it all (for those not initiated, we are discussing this thread about jpm/comex).

So I looked up the 'Read this story -->' pattern, because this is obviously done with software - the question I could not answer is 'what software is it?'. It looks like something someone has custom-built, but one of my research vectors was it might also be some kind of messenger-style add-in*, in which case, many people would be using it and (per my reasoning) the pattern should be identified elsewhere.

* .. which is still a possibility - anyone familiar with similar?

To my surprise, I did find the patterns I sought to find. I dug a bit deeper and identified (surprising) a handful of users who have lots of posts in the same [Abstract] + 'read this article -->' pattern. Here they are, with links so that you can confirm this pattern for yourself. For convenience I have also put the date that the user's first post appeared.

'truth_trader' 301 Messages (since 04-July-2008) [link]
(originally started posting as 'truth_trader53'

'doc366' 357 Messages (since 25-June-2009) [link]

'fxtrader00' 189 Messages (since 26-June-2009) [link]
NOTE: Not all his messages are the 'Read this article -->' type.

'cancelled_reservation' 314 Messages (since 29-June-2009) [link]

'casino_trade' 132 Messages (since 13-July-2009) [link]

NOW:, watch three of these guys have a 'discussion' together:

"END GAME FOR MORGAN'S SILVER SHORT" post by [truth_trader], with replies from [cancelled_reservation] and [fxtrader00].
http://messages.finance.yahoo.com/Stocks_%28A_to_Z%29/Stocks_J/threadview?m=tm&bn=10073&tid=384907&mid=384907&tof=-1&rt=2&frt=2&off=1

What conclusions to draw? Well. Sheesh. I'm sure you can come up with some. What links these user accounts is the same pattern of posts, and a all-too-coincidental occurence of them all giving replies to the same post. So basically, whoever controls all of these accounts has an agenda, but they have tried (failed) to make it look like background noise and regular users. There ARE a few other possibilities, but whoever comes up with a theory has to explain the correlation and patterns (i.e. primarily the question of whether these 5x users are centrally controlled or not, and secondarily: the motive behind their posts). [[ I'm sorry Louis and Harvey but I don't (personally) think that 'doc366' is legitimate, given the close links with these other users. ]]

Now for me, I'm all over the appearance of ideas and the way 'memes' regulate the flow of public opinion. To me, it's a modern thing where if you control the flow and quantity of various memes in circulation then you control the direction of public consciousness. Because of this, I'm incredibly suspicous of everyday things. For example my wife (who I've mentioned before) comes home and informs me that gold had a big spike up because of the Japan disaster - she had seen it on the news on the ferry coming home (this is the same gold price which is still trading sideways as we all know, and the same gold which typically gets no mention in the news when it reaches new all-time-historic highs every other week ... ?!!).

But lay it all out ... Silver is difficult to get (we know that - someone big has gone long physical and restricted supply). Comex is having issues (we can see that). Gold is undervalued (we know that), FIAT is fraudulent (we know this) - so the arrow points in the same direction as all this stuff ... the question for me, is WHY promote stories about the Comex default? and thus grease the wheel to its eventual demise? i.e. get the momementum rolling on something which is going to happen anyway. Or rather - PRIME PUBLIC OPINION about a specific set of events in order to direct the outcomes.

My own conclusion (dons Tin Foil Hat): Comex (a scapegoat) is about to default, and of course - someone, somewhere has known about it for a while and has prepared and directed things accordingly. It would seem that SGS is largely vindicated (content from Bears videos) and - get ready for Freegold, folks, this is going to be EPIC.